Cannabiz Academy — Outdoor Cultivation Projections

Canopy Size & Allocation

Total Canopy 43,560 sq ft

10k43,560 (1 acre)

Dep Canopy 6,800 sq ft

FF Canopy

36,760 sq ft

Sell 100% Rosin Sell 100% Raw FF

OPEX Recoup Target (%)

% of pre-harvest OPEX to recoup from 1st dep run

Canopy & Production

Total Canopy (sq ft)43,560

Dep Yield (g/sq ft)

Dep Harvests/Season

Grow Cost ($/lb)

Trim Cost ($/lb)

FF Harvest Cost ($/lb)

Local Cultivation Tax

Tax Rate ($/sq ft)

Discount (%)

Calaveras: $2/sq ft w/ 60% discount = $0.80/sq ft • Total: $27,200

Fresh Frozen, Extraction & Pricing

Fresh Frozen & Extraction

Sq Ft / Plant

Plant spacing. 22 = 4ft spacing (default). Tighter = more plants, wider = bigger plants.

FF Plants-

Wet Yield / Plant (lbs)

Deleafed wet weight per plant. ~12 lbs moderate, up to 50+ for full-season monsters.

Wet-to-Dry Ratio

Lbs wet per lb dry. ~5:1 typical. Used for cost calc (grow/harvest cost is per dry lb).

FF Wash Yield (%)

Hash/rosin yield from wet material. Min ~2.5-3%. Adjust to test scenarios.

How are you monetizing the hash/rosin portion?

Toll Cost ($/lb wet input)

Cost per lb of wet material tolled to rosin. ~$40/lb typical.

Extractor Split (yours %)

Price Assumptions

DEP FLOWER (dried/trimmed)

Dep Low ($/lb)

Dep Mid ($/lb)

Dep High ($/lb)

ROSIN (if toll/split path)

Rosin Low ($/g)

Rosin High ($/g)

FRESH FROZEN RAW (if sell-FF path)

FF Price Low ($/pt/wet lb)

FF Price High ($/pt/wet lb)

$/yield-% point/wet lb. Target: $10-15/pt. At 5.5% yield = $55-$82/wet lb

AI Strategic Recommendation

Analyzing...

Season Overview (Mid-Price Baseline)

Total Dep Lbs

Cost / Lb (Dep vs FF)

Net (Low)

Net (High)

Best Across All

Scenario Comparison

Net Revenue by Scenario (Mid-Price Dep)

Rosin Breakeven Analysis

Detailed Scenario Breakdown

Scenario 1: All 34k Dep Flower (2 Runs)

Dep Price	Gross Revenue	Trim Cost	Prod Cost	Net Profit

Scenario 2: 24k Dep + 10k FF (Rosin Toll Path)

Dep Price	Dep Net	Rosin @ Low	Rosin @ High	Combined Low	Combined High

Scenario 3: 50/50 Split (17k/17k)

Dep Price	Dep Net	Rosin Low	Rosin High	Net Low	Net High

Scenario 4: All 34k Fresh Frozen (Rosin Only)

Metric	@ Low Rosin	@ High Rosin

Delta vs. All Dep (Positive = Strategy Wins)

Dep Price	S2 Toll Low	S2 Toll High	S3 Toll Low	S3 Toll High	S4 Low	S4 High

Fresh Frozen Economics (Sell Raw)

Sell FF Raw — Based on Current Slider Allocation

What if you sell your fresh frozen wet material directly instead of processing into rosin? Pricing: $/yield-point/wet lb (per-point model). Yield drives the price per lb.

FF Wet Lbs Produced

Wash Yield

Price Per Wet Lb (Low/High)

Gross FF Revenue

Metric	Low ($10/pt)	High ($15/pt)

FF Sell Net (Low)

FF Sell Net (High)

FF Sell vs All-Dep (Mid Price Delta)

First-Year Expense Estimate

Operating & Capital Expenses (Year 1)

Category	Amount	Notes

Season Cash Flow Timeline

Monthly OPEX Burn vs. Harvest Revenue (Based on Dep/FF Allocation Slider)

Month-by-Month Breakdown

Month	OPEX Spend	Revenue In	Monthly Net	Cumulative	Notes

OPEX Before 1st Harvest

1st Harvest Revenue (Sep)

% OPEX Covered by 1st Harvest

Peak Cash Needed (Day 1 Check)

Break-Even Month

Recoup Target Met?

Strategic Recommendations

🧠 AI Strategy Analyst

Optimal Configuration Found

Analyzed 0 canopy/allocation combinations. All profits shown are NET (gross revenue minus grow cost, trim/harvest labor, toll processing, and production costs). ROI = net profit / total year 1 investment (OPEX + CAPEX).

Best ROI (Net Profit / Total Investment)

Best-Case Net Profit (High Dep + High Rosin)

Worst-Case Net Profit Floor (Low Dep + Low Rosin)

Lowest Year 1 Investment (OPEX + CAPEX) w/ Positive Net

Best 1st Harvest Gross Revenue vs Pre-Harvest OPEX+CAPEX

Lowest-Cost Config Meeting Recoup Target

Net Profit ROI Heatmap (Revenue - All Costs) / Total Investment — Canopy Size vs Dep/FF Split

Each point = a canopy size + dep allocation combo. Y-axis = ROI (profit / total cost). Hover for details.

Top 10 Configurations by Net ROI (Mid Dep Price + Avg Rosin Price, After All Costs)

#	Canopy	Dep Sqft	FF Sqft	Dep %	Total Cost	Net Profit	ROI	FF Sell-Raw Rev	1st Harv Cash	Coverage	Meets Target

Sensitivity Analysis — Stress Test

What If? (Based on Current Slider Allocation)

Shows how net profit changes when key variables shift. Green = better than baseline, Red = worse.

Scenario	Change	Net Profit	vs Baseline	ROI

Year 2 Projection (No Capex)

Year 2 Outlook — Capex Paid Off, Pure Operating

Year 2 assumes same canopy, same allocation, same prices. Capex is gone. Seeds replaced by mothers/cuts from Year 1. Net profit = gross margin from sales minus overhead OPEX only.

Year 2 Overhead OPEX

Year 2 Net Profit (Mid Price)

Year 2 ROI (Net / OPEX)

Y1 → Y2 ROI Jump

Saved Configurations

Quick-Switch Between Plans

Dial in a scenario with the sliders above, then save it here with a name. Click any saved plan to instantly load all its settings. Great for comparing options during partner meetings — try "What if we start at 20k sqft?" vs "Full acre buildout" side by side.

NorCal Licensed Cultivation Projections • All figures are estimates for planning purposes only • Dashboard built for partner review

Outdoor Cultivation Projections